Friday, October 5, 2012

Snapshot of where jobs were added and subtracted last month---I look at these numbers and see the reason for Income Inequality in the US. What do you see??

Here is a snapshot of where jobs were added and subtracted for the month of September.

Private Sector Goods  producing industries lost 10,000 jobs. Private Sector Service Jobs gained 114,000 and Govt (at all levels) added 10,000 for a net change of 114,000.

Notice the bright spots in jobs created (ignore the Stars I put on the graph--was going to do something else with those). 

A perponderance of the jobs created went to people with elevate knowlegde/skills and education.  The income inequality story in the US is embedded within these numbers. I wish more attention were paid to this fact.

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Does money create the presence of goods and services or do goods and services create the presence of money? Economists answer: Yes, No, well, maybe...

Stole this graphic below from my blogosphere friend, The New Arthurian.  Money, specifically MORE money, is MOST useful if there is a newly produced good and/or service AVAILABLE to exchange it for. Yes, I am a master of the obvious!

I guess it begs question(s): What comes first---money to buy a good or service or the availability of a good or service to buy with money?  Does money create wealth or does wealth create the need for money? 

(UPDATE: upon re-reading my first question, I find it to be very inelegant. Suggestions in how to re-phrase it would be helpful).

I don't really know. I can't quite figure it out. Seems like it depends----sometimes the chicken comes before the egg and somethimes the egg comes before the chicken.  That reminds me, I have to eat breakfast.

This is from a letter to the editor in 1933.  Is it still appropos today??

Source: The New Arthurian via Financial Times
If you want to get a deeper understanding of the relationship between "money" and "credit" and how these two merge (and diverge) to create the REAL problem with our economy---PRIVATE DEBT, then PLEASE visit The New Arthurian to get the scoop. 

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Need a breakdown of what the "Fiscal Cliff" is all about? I always like to know what I am "falling into". How about you?

We have all heard the term "Fiscal Cliff" (assuming you pay some attention to current events) and have some idea what it is about and that it appears to be a bad thing. 

BUT what are the details?

This report by The Tax Policy Center is as good an explanation as I have seen,in the simplest possible terms (with NICELY organized and presented charts!!!), of the issues on the Federal taxation side. 

It does NOT address the spending cuts that are part of the "Fiscal Cliff".

I especially like the detailed breakdown as to how the different income groups may be affected by the expiration of MANY different tax breaks/cuts and the implementation of NEW taxes scheduled to take effect in 2013.

ENJOY!!

We were against child trafficking before we were for it. Nice example of conflicting policy goals...

Using the bully pulpit to address the human tragedy of human trafficking is a good thing. To exempt the most vile offenders/perpetrators of said tragedy, well, not so much...

Executive Order - Strengthening Protections Against Trafficking In Persons In Federal Contracts
"When a little boy is kidnapped, turned into a child soldier, forced to kill or be killed -- that's slavery," Obama said in a speech at the Clinton Global Initiative. "It is barbaric, and it is evil, and it has no place in a civilized world. Now, as a nation, we've long rejected such cruelty."
 
Celebrate, Children of the World!
Oh, Wait. Not so fast

  Obama waives sanctions on countries that use child soldiers

""Late Friday afternoon, Obama issued a presidential memorandum waiving penalties under the Child Soldiers Protection Act of 2008 for Libya, South Sudan, and Yemen, penalties that Congress put in place to prevent U.S. arms sales to countries determined by the State Department to be the worst abusers of child soldiers in their militaries. The president also partially waived sanctions against the Democratic Republic of the Congo to allow some military training and arms sales to that country.""
 
Party is over, children. Back to work...
Source: Foreign Policy Magazine


Monday, October 1, 2012

Fracking Sand!! It is not what it sounds like. Sand is the newest natural resource craze.

When we study the Production Possibilities Frontier and the variables that can INCREASE the productive capacity of a nation, we list "New uses for existing resources" as one of those variables.

In the Mid-West there has been a boom in gas and oil drilling with a technique called "Fracking". See video below to see how this works.

Fracking requires a specific grade sand and there is plenty of it lying dormant in the farmlands of the Mid-West/Upper Mid-West.

A new industry is born to service another one.  It contributes to higher employment of a variety of resources (people being the important one), lower energy prices (theorhetically) and lowers the cost of producing goods. 


Sand boom creates prosperity, shovel-ready jobs, and ‘sand millionaires’ in America’s sandbox, but generates controversy
“High-grade frac sand commands a premium in the marketplace: $60 to $80 per ton, over five times the price of construction sand and gravel. Oil companies and oilfield service firms can pay over $300 per ton for processed sand delivered to the wellhead. No wonder that large mining firms, many of them based outside the region, have invested hundreds of millions of dollars in mines and processing facilities.

Unemployment in Barron County, Wis., topped 11 percent at one point during the recession. But since 2010, sand mining companies have invested hundreds of millions of dollars in the predominantly rural county—making its economic development director bullish on the future. “Frac sand is the biggest and best thing that’s happened in our lifetime in Barron County,” Bob Missling said. “I see frac sand becoming one of the county’s biggest sources of business revenue, moving forward.”

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Apologies to Ben Franklin---No, sir, we cannot keep our Republic but thanks for trying. See chart here of voters not likely to vote if the weather is bad...

Let me express the sentiment of the worst Americans in the country:

"Nahhh, I am not going to vote. I can't decide who I want to vote for ("who's running again?) plus I hear it is going to rain.  Think I will just stay home, lay on the couch, eat some Cheetos and watch Jerry Springer re-runs. Yeah, that's what I gonna do." Go 'Merica...

Apologies to Ben Frankin---no, sir, we cannot keep our Republic but thanks for trying....

Source: The Weather Channel

The increase in usage of Smartphones by parents is causing more children to go to emergency rooms for injuries. This is not a good trend and a nice expample of an unintended consequence that has a real cost to society

An interesting study in whether "correlation is causation". 

The Perils of Texting While Parenting

This article in the WSJ suggests that there has been a significant increase in the number of children requiring hospital visits for "non-fatal" injuries since 2007, due to the increase usage of Smartphones. 

This comes after a decade of DECLINE in the number of non-fatal injuries.
"Nonfatal injuries to children under age five rose 12% between 2007 and 2010, after falling for much of the prior decade, according to the most recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, based on emergency-room records.  
The number of Americans 13 and older who own a smartphone such as an iPhone or BlackBerry has grown from almost 9 million in mid-2007, when Apple introduced its device, to 63 million at the end of 2010 and 114 million in July 2012, according to research firm comScore. "
 
The article stops short of making a direct correlation.
"Childhood-injury specialists say there appear to be no formal studies or statistics to establish a connection between so-called device distraction and childhood injury. "What you have is an association," says Dr. Gary Smith, founder and director of the Center for Injury Research and Policy of the Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital. "Being able to prove causality is the issue.... It certainly is a question that begs to be asked." 
 However, data from the CDC might shed some light in the relationship.
""Statistics from the government's Consumer Product Safety Commission, which tracks injuries by product type, show children are getting hurt more during activities and at ages that would seem to warrant close supervision. Injuries involving playground equipment among children under five jumped 17% between 2007 and 2010, after trending down the previous five years, the commission said. Injuries involving nursery equipment such as changing tables were up 31% among children under five over that period, after declining over five years. Injuries involving swimming pools climbed 36% in that age group after a slight increase over the prior five years.""
Next time you are at a playground or in a Chuck E. Cheese, look around at the parents. 
 
What are they doing??  Makes you think...
 
Here are the graphs that accompanied the article:





 

Thursday, September 27, 2012

THE source of Middle Class income stagnation in the US in one easy graphic...

Ok, maybe not the source, but this HAS to be strongly considered.

Employer contributions to a workers heathcare plan are considered a "non-wage" form of compensation. The employee does not pay it, the employer does.

As you can see from this graphic, not only has the employee portion of their healthcare premiums increased significantly since 2000 (which they pay out of there earned income/wages), but the employer contributions on behalf of the employee (which the employee NEVER sees) has also increased dramatically. 


Source: Wall Street Journal
More of the firms money that goes into non-wage benefit compensation is not available to give raises or to hire more people.

Each employee becomes more expensive in wage + non-wage compensation.  Firms hire fewer workers "at the margin" and/or there is less money available for employee compensation.

A source (not necessarily THE source) of income and employment stagnation in the last 12 years for the Middle Class?

Seems somewhat reasonable to me. What do you think? 

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

The Opportunity Costs of Cell Phones---entertainment, movie, restaurant spending down. TANSTAAFL..Sigh...

Excellent example of Opportunity Costs---if you spend money on one thing you cannot spend it on something else.  Pretty elementary, but important to understand when you look at the "unseen" effects of those decisions on the industries that are potentially hurt:

Cell Phones Are Eating the Family Budget
"Government data show people have spent more on phone bills over the past four years, even as they have dialed back on dining out, clothes and entertainment—cutbacks that have been keenly felt in the restaurant, apparel and film industries."

"Melinda Tuers, an accounting clerk at a high school in Redlands, Calif., said she already pays close to $300 a month for her family's four smartphones. She and her husband have cut back on dining out, special events and concerts to make room for the bigger phone bill."

"But some question where the money for that data will come from. Americans spent $116 more a year on telephone services in 2011 than they did in 2007, according to the Labor Department, even as total household expenditures increased by just $67.

Meanwhile, spending on food away from home fell by $48, apparel spending declined by $141, and entertainment spending dropped by $126. The figures aren't adjusted for inflation."


Here is a nice graphic to illustrate the trade-offs, resulting in Opportunity Costs, people are making over time:

Source: Wall Street Journal

Nice graphic showing US exports of grains compared to other geographic areas. Our "BreadBasket" produces, well, lots of bread...

Productivity in the US agricultural sector is amazing.

This graphic shows how much, in millions of tons, the US Exports in various grains (corn, rice, barley, wheat, oats, etc) compared to the the next 4 largest competitors.

Keep in mind this is not total production, but just that part of domestic production that is sold to foreigners.   In the case of the US, we use about 2/3 of our land to produce grains for domestic consumption and 1/3 of the land is used for the export of grains.


Source: Big Picture Agriculture.
Our exports alone equal (approx) the exports of the European Union, Canada, Ukraine and Australia COMBINED. 

US farmers are pretty good at combining the economic resources of Land, Labor, and Capital (physical capital and technology) to produce food---for our own citizens and the rest of the world as well.

Monday, September 24, 2012

Nice graphic showing the component costs of the new i-Phone 5. How cheap it is to make is a testament to the global supply chain...

A breakdown of the cost of the component parts of the new i-Phone. 

The first graphic compares the new version with the previous version. 

The second one is the cost of the components according to the number of Gigabytes.

Remember, these are just component parts, not other costs such and R&D, marketing, transportation, on and on...


Source: Wall Street Journal


Source: isuppli

Nice Cartoon and explanation using Solar Panels to illustrate a concept called "Conspicuous Conservation".


This cartoon illustrates a concept I heard discussed in a Freakonomics Podcast: "Conspicuous Conservation and The Prius Effect"---It means people tend to purchase/consume a good or service primarily if others see them (or are overtly aware) do so. 

A good deal of satisfaction ("Utility")  derived from consuming the good/service comes from the recognition or affirmation of others. 

Source: Explosm.net
This may not matter much in most cases. So what if you want to be known as environmentally aware? You have done a good deed and others explicitly  know about it.  No harm, no foul, right?

In the Podcast mentioned above, the researchers give an example of how this can actually be inefficient and detrimental.

In Southern California people are getting lots of solar panels installed on their homes. Good thing.

However, in many cases installers recommended, for maximum efficiency and sun exposure, the solar panels be installed on a section of the house that was not visible from the street. 

The homeowners protested and had them instead install them on the front of the house, presumably so their neighbors, and others, would see them.

Not efficient, but "Conspicuous".

I highly recommend this podcast found HERE.

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Should you be ashamed the workers who assembled your shiny new I-Phone 5 are only paid $2.00 per hour? Well, no, actually you should not be ashamed but encouraged. See here why...

The news aggregator Business Insider has the following headline on its homepage today:

Thank You, Millions Of Anonymous Chinese Workers Making $2 An Hour, We Love Our iPhone 5s!

It also is accompanied by the following picture:


Many of these workers (and/or their parents) moved from the country-side to take these jobs.  Their alternative would be to work jobs like these in the picture below for less (much less) than $2.00 per hour.

Opportunity Cost illustrated...Which worker is the most "exploited" by the economy?

Note: If you think this is a gross exaggeration, you must to read up on recent Chinese economic history.  You need to shed your "rich country" perspective and consider the economic ladder has rungs, not an elevator. 
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